Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Basel II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Basel II are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Zürich II are 2W-1D-0L in their last 3 (WDW), averaging 2.33 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 5 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Zürich II hold a 2.4-point power-rating edge (46.8 v 49.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.7% in the 1. Liga Promotion, while Basel II holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Basel II
Probability
39.7%
Model confidence
39.7%
Basel II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/3.00
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 2.33/1.00