Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Basel II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Basel II 3-2 Luzern II
Original prediction
Basel II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Basel II
Probability
43.4%
Model confidence
43.4%
Basel II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Basel IIWLLWW
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Luzern IILWLLD
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Basel IILuzern II
59.3Attack48.1
37.0Defence40.7
44.4Form25.9
48.1Power39.8
2.32xG1.63