Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Basel II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Basel II 3-1 Bavois
Original prediction
Basel II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 08:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Basel II
Probability
57.8%
Model confidence
57.8%
Basel II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Basel IIDWWLL
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
BavoisLLLLL
GF 1 · GA 8 · avg 0.20/1.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Basel IIBavois
63.6Attack30.3
36.4Defence57.6
48.5Form24.2
51.0Power38.7
1.85xG1.03