Barycz Sułówvs
Zagłębie Lubin II
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 3 · 9/26/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zagłębie Lubin II · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (11%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Barycz Sułów 3-3 Zagłębie Lubin II
Original prediction
Zagłębie Lubin II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.19 | 40.9% | 36.1% | -4.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.54 | 25.4% | 27.5% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 2.67 | 33.7% | 36.4% | 2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.54 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
Zagłębie Lubin II
Probability
36.4%
Model confidence
36.4%
Zagłębie Lubin II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80