Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Saturday, 25 July 2026Last updated 14:59
Barycz Sułów

Barycz Sułów

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L
21
Full time
Górnik Polkowice

Górnik Polkowice

Away
WW
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Górnik Polkowice33%
Barycz Sułów33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score2-2
Win probability
Barycz Sułów
33%
Draw
33%
Górnik Polkowice
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Barycz Sułów
34
Górnik Polkowice
100
Defence
Barycz Sułów
1
Górnik Polkowice
82
Momentum
Barycz Sułów
0
Górnik Polkowice
100
Danger (xG)
Barycz Sułów
0.90
Górnik Polkowice
4.50
Both teams to score
Yes

The model projects 1.39 xG for Barycz Sułów and 1.31 xG for Górnik Polkowice — meaningful and meaningful attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. The xG gap between the sides is narrow (0.08), meaning neither defence is expected to completely shut the other out.

Over 2.5 goals
Yes

The model projects a combined xG of 2.70 — elevated attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-1 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. The probability grid is dominated by scorelines of two goals or fewer, with the over 2.5 market requiring a result that sits outside the model's most likely outcomes.

xG for (Barycz Sułów)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Górnik Polkowice)
4.50
avg per match
xG against (Barycz Sułów)
3.60
avg per match
xG against (Górnik Polkowice)
0.45
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Barycz SułówBarycz Sułów
L
Górnik PolkowiceGórnik Polkowice
WW

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Barycz Sułów33%
Draw33%
Górnik Polkowice33%

Górnik Polkowice leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Barycz Sułów vs Górnik Polkowice: Model Points to a Closely-Fought Draw

Barycz Sułów take on Górnik Polkowice in Friendlies Clubs.

Why GoalVio backs this

Neither side carries a decisive edge in the metrics that most reliably separate teams at this level — xG creation, defensive solidity, and recent form are all closely matched. When the underlying football inputs are this evenly distributed, a draw is the most defensible projection.

Biggest risk: The draw projection is inherently fragile — a single moment of quality from either side could produce a winner. The model sees no clear favourite, which means the actual result is highly sensitive to in-game events and individual quality.

Risk factors

  • Barycz Sułów have been conceding 1.83 goals per game — their defence could be exposed.
  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
  • The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.

Recent form

Barycz Sułów

Barycz Sułów

L
@ Legia Warszawa II
8 Jul 2026
14
Górnik Polkowice

Górnik Polkowice

W
vs Kluczbork
17 May 2026
31
W
@ Pawłowice Śląskie
13 May 2026
70

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Barycz Sułów vs Górnik Polkowice?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Barycz Sułów vs Górnik Polkowice?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-2.

Will both teams score in Barycz Sułów vs Górnik Polkowice?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Barycz Sułów vs Górnik Polkowice?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more