GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern Central · 8/12/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Barwell · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Barwell are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (DL), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Stratford Town are 2W-1D-0L in their last 3 (WWD), averaging 3.33 scored and 0.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Barwell hold a 13.3-point power-rating edge (49.7 v 36.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.1% in the Non League Premier - Southern Central, while Barwell holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Barwell

Probability

46.1%

Model confidence

46.1%

Barwell has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BarwellDL

GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 0.50/1.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 0/2
Stratford TownWWD

GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 3.33/0.67

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
BarwellStratford Town
53.7Attack22.2
46.3Defence55.6
43.9Form22.2
49.7Power36.4
1.70xG1.18
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