GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 6/6/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bartolomé Mitre · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Bartolomé Mitre are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Sarmiento Resistencia are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Bartolomé Mitre hold a 16.7-point power-rating edge (55.2 v 38.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 30.7% in the Torneo Federal A, while Bartolomé Mitre holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 17% BTTS chance and 12% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bartolomé Mitre

Probability

47.9%

Model confidence

30.7%

Bartolomé Mitre has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bartolomé MitreLWWWD

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Sarmiento ResistenciaLLLDD

GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Bartolomé MitreSarmiento Resistencia
25.9Attack26.3
83.3Defence49.1
50.0Form31.6
55.2Power38.5
0.90xG0.31
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