Bartolomé Mitrevs
Sarmiento de La Banda
COMPLETEDArgentina · Torneo Federal A · 4/26/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Bartolomé Mitre are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Sarmiento de La Banda are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Bartolomé Mitre hold a 2.3-point power-rating edge (55.2 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.0% in the Torneo Federal A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 14% BTTS chance and 6% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
50.5%
Model confidence
41.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80