Bartolomé Mitrevs
San Martin Formosa
COMPLETEDArgentina · Torneo Federal A · 9/20/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
San Martin Formosa · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Bartolomé Mitre 0-0 San Martin Formosa, with an exact score probability of 28%.
Prediction record
Final result
Bartolomé Mitre 0-0 San Martin Formosa
Original prediction
San Martin Formosa
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.08 | 29.0% | 23.8% | -5.2 pts |
| Draw | 2.91 | 30.8% | 33.9% | 3.1 pts |
| Away | 2.23 | 40.2% | 42.3% | 2.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.91 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.1 pts
Projected Score
Bartolomé Mitre 0–0 San Martin Formosa
Exact score probability: 28%
Predicted outcome
San Martin Formosa
Probability
42.3%
Model confidence
42.3%
San Martin Formosa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60