Bartolomé Mitrevs
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
COMPLETEDArgentina · Torneo Federal A · 9/6/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Bartolomé Mitre 0-0 Gimnasia Chivilcoy, with an exact score probability of 48%.
Prediction record
Final result
Bartolomé Mitre 0-1 Gimnasia Chivilcoy
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7.67 | 11.8% | 20.3% | 8.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.16 | 21.6% | 40.9% | 19.2 pts |
| Away | 1.35 | 66.6% | 38.8% | -27.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
19.2 pts
Projected Score
Bartolomé Mitre 0–0 Gimnasia Chivilcoy
Exact score probability: 48%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
40.9%
Model confidence
40.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40