GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 7/12/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bartolomé Mitre · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Bartolomé Mitre are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Defensores de Vilelas are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Bartolomé Mitre hold a 6.1-point power-rating edge (55.2 v 49.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 23.1% in the Torneo Federal A, while Bartolomé Mitre holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bartolomé Mitre

Probability

38.9%

Model confidence

23.1%

Bartolomé Mitre has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bartolomé MitreLDDWL

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Defensores de VilelasWLWLW

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Bartolomé MitreDefensores de Vilelas
25.9Attack50.9
83.3Defence47.4
50.0Form45.6
55.2Power49.2
0.90xG0.62
View match centre →