Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ozgon · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Bars are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Ozgon are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 64.4 against 65.8. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.8% in the Premier League, while Ozgon holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ozgon
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
8.8%
Ozgon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80