Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bars 2-1 Alga
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 August 2026 at 09:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5-unified-score-distribution.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
24.1%
Model confidence
10.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BarsDDLWW
GF 17 · GA 11 · avg 3.40/2.20
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
AlgaDWDWW
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
BarsAlga
87.0Attack64.8
46.3Defence68.5
63.0Form72.2
64.4Power70.0
1.59xG1.95