Barry Townvs
Llandudno
COMPLETEDWales · Premier League · 9/11/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Barry Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Barry Town 4-1 Llandudno
Original prediction
Barry Town
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.03 | 44.6% | 43.6% | -1.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.33 | 27.2% | 25.4% | -1.8 pts |
| Away | 3.22 | 28.2% | 31.0% | 2.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.03 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Barry Town
Probability
43.6%
Model confidence
43.6%
Barry Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00