GGOALVIO

Wales · Premier League · 8/29/2023, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Barry Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Barry Town are 0W-2D-1L in their last 3 (DDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.33 conceded, while Haverfordwest County AFC are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Barry Town hold a 61.8-point power-rating edge (83.3 v 21.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.4% in the Premier League, while Barry Town holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Barry Town

Probability

57.4%

Model confidence

57.4%

Barry Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Barry TownDDL

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/1.33

BTTS 2/3O2.5 1/3
Haverfordwest County AFCDLDDL

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Barry TownHaverfordwest County AFC
83.3Attack0.0
50.0Defence50.0
100.0Form0.0
83.3Power21.5
2.13xG1.08
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