Barry Townvs
Airbus UK
COMPLETEDWales · Premier League · 8/28/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Barry Town · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Barry Town 4-2 Airbus UK
Original prediction
Barry Town
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.71 | 52.6% | 51.9% | -0.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.60 | 25.0% | 25.3% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 4.02 | 22.4% | 22.8% | 0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.71 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Barry Town
Probability
51.9%
Model confidence
51.9%
Barry Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60