Barrowvs
Wealdstone
COMPLETEDEngland · National League · 10/3/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Barrow · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Barrow 2-1 Wealdstone
Original prediction
Barrow
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.73 | 53.0% | 48.8% | -4.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.74 | 24.5% | 25.3% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 4.07 | 22.5% | 25.9% | 3.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.73 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Barrow
Probability
48.8%
Model confidence
48.8%
Barrow has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BarrowWWWLD
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
WealdstoneDWLLW
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
BarrowWealdstone
54.5Attack48.5
57.6Defence51.5
45.5Form36.4
53.0Power45.7
1.75xG1.11