Barrowvs
Scunthorpe
COMPLETEDEngland · National League · 9/29/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Barrow · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Barrow 3-0 Scunthorpe
Original prediction
Barrow
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.01 | 45.4% | 45.1% | -0.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.62 | 25.2% | 26.6% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 3.10 | 29.4% | 28.4% | -1.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.01 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Barrow
Probability
45.1%
Model confidence
45.1%
Barrow has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BarrowWWLDW
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
ScunthorpeWLLWL
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
BarrowScunthorpe
40.7Attack40.7
55.6Defence44.4
33.3Form25.9
44.7Power38.8
1.50xG1.01