GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 10/28/2025, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nottingham Forest U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Barrow are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Nottingham Forest U21 are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Nottingham Forest U21 hold an 11.9-point power-rating edge (37.2 v 49.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.7% in the EFL Trophy, while Nottingham Forest U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nottingham Forest U21

Probability

36.7%

Model confidence

36.7%

Nottingham Forest U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BarrowDWDLD

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Nottingham Forest U21LDWDL

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
BarrowNottingham Forest U21
33.3Attack41.7
33.3Defence50.0
33.3Form50.0
37.2Power49.1
1.55xG1.62
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