GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 11/7/2023, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Barrow · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Barrow are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Liverpool U21 are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 2.50 scored and 2.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 7 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Barrow hold an 8.0-point power-rating edge (37.2 v 29.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.1% in the EFL Trophy, while Barrow holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Barrow

Probability

46.1%

Model confidence

46.1%

Barrow has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BarrowWDWDD

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Liverpool U21LW

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 2.50/2.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 2/2
BarrowLiverpool U21
33.3Attack50.0
33.3Defence8.3
33.3Form25.0
37.2Power29.2
2.13xG1.63
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