Barrowvs
Gloucester City
COMPLETEDEngland · FA Cup · 10/17/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Barrow · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Barrow 0-0 Gloucester City
Original prediction
Barrow
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 20:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.37 | 66.4% | 39.3% | -27.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.33 | 21.0% | 25.4% | 4.4 pts |
| Away | 7.22 | 12.6% | 35.4% | 22.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.33 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-27.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–27%
Predicted outcome
Barrow
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
39.3%
Barrow has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BarrowWWWWW
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Gloucester CityWWDWL
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
BarrowGloucester City
50.0Attack75.0
50.0Defence83.3
50.0Form83.3
50.0Power80.0
1.36xG1.97