Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Blackpool · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Barrow are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Blackpool are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Blackpool hold a 30.8-point power-rating edge (37.2 v 67.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.0% in the EFL Trophy, while Blackpool holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Blackpool
Probability
54.0%
Model confidence
54.0%
Blackpool has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80