GGOALVIO

England · National League · 8/15/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AFC Hornchurch · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Barrow are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while AFC Hornchurch are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and AFC Hornchurch hold an 81.7-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 97.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.6% in the National League, while AFC Hornchurch holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AFC Hornchurch

Probability

48.8%

Model confidence

11.6%

AFC Hornchurch has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BarrowLLLLW

GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
AFC HornchurchWWWDW

GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
BarrowAFC Hornchurch
0.0Attack100.0
33.3Defence100.0
0.0Form100.0
15.3Power97.0
1.29xG1.84
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