Barranquillavs
Real Cundinamarca
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera B · 9/27/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 0-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Barranquilla 0-1 Real Cundinamarca
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.46 | 36.7% | 34.4% | -2.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.11 | 29.0% | 30.8% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 2.64 | 34.2% | 34.8% | 0.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.0–112%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
30.8%
Model confidence
34.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BarranquillaLLLWW
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Real CundinamarcaWWLWW
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
BarranquillaReal Cundinamarca
40.0Attack41.7
54.4Defence61.1
37.8Form41.7
45.5Power49.7
0.99xG1.05