Barranquillavs
Real Cartagena
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera B · 10/24/2026, 8:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Real Cartagena · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (12%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Barranquilla 1-1 Real Cartagena
Original prediction
Real Cartagena
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 17:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.02 | 15.1% | 26.4% | 11.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.28 | 21.2% | 27.0% | 5.8 pts |
| Away | 1.42 | 63.8% | 46.6% | -17.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.28 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-17.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Real Cartagena
Probability
46.6%
Model confidence
46.6%
Real Cartagena has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40