Barranquillavs
Quindio
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera B · 10/11/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Barranquilla 0-0 Quindio, with an exact score probability of 25%.
Prediction record
Final result
Barranquilla 4-1 Quindio
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.89 | 31.3% | 29.8% | -1.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.14 | 28.9% | 32.3% | 3.4 pts |
| Away | 2.27 | 39.8% | 38.0% | -1.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.4 pts
Projected Score
Barranquilla 0–0 Quindio
Exact score probability: 25%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.3%
Model confidence
38.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BarranquillaDDLLL
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
QuindioWWLLD
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
BarranquillaQuindio
38.5Attack34.4
55.2Defence78.1
36.5Form59.4
44.9Power59.8
0.57xG0.88