Barranquillavs
Popayan
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera B · 9/1/2026, 10:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Barranquilla · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Barranquilla 0-0 Popayan, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Barranquilla 2-1 Popayan
Original prediction
Barranquilla
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.01 | 45.3% | 47.1% | 1.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.14 | 29.0% | 28.6% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 3.56 | 25.6% | 24.3% | -1.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.01 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.8 pts
Projected Score
Barranquilla 0–0 Popayan
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Barranquilla
Probability
47.1%
Model confidence
47.1%
Barranquilla has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BarranquillaLDDDL
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
PopayanLLDWW
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
BarranquillaPopayan
40.0Attack31.6
57.3Defence56.1
37.3Form29.8
46.0Power41.8
1.14xG0.73