Barranquillavs
America de Cali
COMPLETEDColombia · Copa Colombia · 10/22/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
America de Cali · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Barranquilla 0-4 America de Cali
Original prediction
America de Cali
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 8 October 2026 at 12:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7.75 | 11.8% | 26.1% | 14.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.88 | 18.7% | 24.2% | 5.5 pts |
| Away | 1.31 | 69.5% | 49.6% | -19.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.31 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-19.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–17%
Predicted outcome
America de Cali
Probability
49.6%
Model confidence
49.6%
America de Cali has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00