GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 8/5/2024, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Barrancas UMET are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while SAT Moreno are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and SAT Moreno hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (64.6 v 72.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.9% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 12% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

48.9%

Model confidence

48.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Barrancas UMETDDWDL

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
SAT MorenoWWDWL

GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Barrancas UMETSAT Moreno
35.9Attack50.0
82.1Defence86.7
69.2Form80.0
64.6Power72.9
0.54xG0.67
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