GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 5/20/2024, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Barrancas UMET · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Barrancas UMET are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Provincial are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Barrancas UMET hold a 38.0-point power-rating edge (64.6 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 73.1% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while Barrancas UMET holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 21% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Barrancas UMET

Probability

73.1%

Model confidence

73.1%

Barrancas UMET has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Barrancas UMETDLDLW

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
ProvincialLWDDD

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Barrancas UMETProvincial
35.9Attack23.3
82.1Defence26.7
69.2Form23.3
64.6Power26.7
1.86xG0.28
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