GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 9/23/2024, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Barrancas UMET are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLD), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Nautico Hacoaj are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Barrancas UMET hold a 5.7-point power-rating edge (64.6 v 58.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.1% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 16% BTTS chance and 8% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

54.1%

Model confidence

54.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Barrancas UMETLDLLD

GF 0 · GA 5 · avg 0.00/1.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Nautico HacoajWLWWD

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Barrancas UMETNautico Hacoaj
35.9Attack33.3
82.1Defence84.8
69.2Form54.5
64.6Power58.9
0.57xG0.43
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