GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 8/19/2024, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Barrancas UMET are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Everton La Plata are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Barrancas UMET hold a 24.6-point power-rating edge (64.6 v 40.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.9% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 14% BTTS chance and 9% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

49.9%

Model confidence

49.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Barrancas UMETWWDDW

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Everton La PlataLDDLW

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Barrancas UMETEverton La Plata
35.9Attack16.7
82.1Defence69.4
69.2Form25.0
64.6Power40.0
0.77xG0.29
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