GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 9/7/2024, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Barrancas UMET are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Estrella Del Sur are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Estrella Del Sur hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (64.6 v 67.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.5% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 13% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

48.5%

Model confidence

48.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Barrancas UMETLLDWW

GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Estrella Del SurWWDWW

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Barrancas UMETEstrella Del Sur
35.9Attack51.9
82.1Defence76.5
69.2Form71.6
64.6Power67.7
0.55xG0.69
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