GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 10/7/2024, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Barrancas UMET are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Estrella de Berisso are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Barrancas UMET hold a 14.4-point power-rating edge (64.6 v 50.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.2% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

42.2%

Model confidence

42.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Barrancas UMETLLLDL

GF 0 · GA 7 · avg 0.00/1.40

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Estrella de BerissoDWLLW

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Barrancas UMETEstrella de Berisso
35.9Attack43.3
82.1Defence60.0
69.2Form46.7
64.6Power50.2
0.97xG0.54
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