GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 3/17/2024, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Barrancas UMET are 0W-2D-1L in their last 3 (LDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.67 conceded, while Belgrano Zarate are 0W-0D-3L in their last 3 (LLL), averaging 0.33 scored and 2.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Barrancas UMET hold an 11.1-point power-rating edge (64.6 v 53.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.3% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 13% BTTS chance and 6% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

56.3%

Model confidence

56.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Barrancas UMETLDD

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.67

BTTS 2/3O2.5 1/3
Belgrano ZarateLLL

GF 1 · GA 7 · avg 0.33/2.33

BTTS 1/3O2.5 2/3
Barrancas UMETBelgrano Zarate
35.9Attack25.0
82.1Defence80.6
69.2Form47.2
64.6Power53.5
0.58xG0.32
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