GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 5/8/2024, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Barrancas UMET · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Barrancas UMET are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Atletico Pilar are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Barrancas UMET hold a 35.1-point power-rating edge (64.6 v 29.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.9% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while Barrancas UMET holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Barrancas UMET

Probability

64.9%

Model confidence

64.9%

Barrancas UMET has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Barrancas UMETDLWDW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Atletico PilarLDWWD

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Barrancas UMETAtletico Pilar
35.9Attack26.7
82.1Defence40.0
69.2Form16.7
64.6Power29.5
1.54xG0.31
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