GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/7/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vasco DA Gama · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Barracas Central are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Vasco DA Gama are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Vasco DA Gama hold a 29.2-point power-rating edge (31.0 v 60.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.1% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Vasco DA Gama holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vasco DA Gama

Probability

50.1%

Model confidence

50.1%

Vasco DA Gama has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Barracas CentralLDWWD

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Vasco DA GamaLDWWD

GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Barracas CentralVasco DA Gama
11.1Attack54.2
55.6Defence66.7
16.7Form58.3
31.0Power60.2
0.67xG1.39
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