Barracas Centralvs
Independ. Rivadavia
COMPLETEDArgentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 9/21/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Independ. Rivadavia · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Barracas Central 0-0 Independ. Rivadavia, with an exact score probability of 23%.
Prediction record
Final result
Barracas Central 0-1 Independ. Rivadavia
Original prediction
Independ. Rivadavia
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.31 | 28.3% | 26.7% | -1.6 pts |
| Draw | 2.91 | 32.2% | 32.4% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.37 | 39.5% | 40.9% | 1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.37 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.4 pts
Projected Score
Barracas Central 0–0 Independ. Rivadavia
Exact score probability: 23%
Predicted outcome
Independ. Rivadavia
Probability
40.9%
Model confidence
40.9%
Independ. Rivadavia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60