Barracas CentralvsA. Italiano

Barracas Central are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while A. Italiano are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and A. Italiano hold a 14.1-point power-rating edge (31.0 v 45.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.2% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.