GGOALVIO

Argentina · Reserve League · 2/2/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Barracas Central Res. are 0W-1D-0L in their last 1 (D), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Sarmiento Res. are 0W-1D-0L in their last 1 (D), averaging 0.00 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 2 games and 0 passed 2.5 goals, and Sarmiento Res. hold a 6.7-point power-rating edge (37.0 v 43.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.0% in the Reserve League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

41.0%

Model confidence

41.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Barracas Central Res.D

GF 1 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 0/1
Sarmiento Res.D

GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
Barracas Central Res.Sarmiento Res.
18.2Attack28.8
54.5Defence59.1
28.8Form36.4
37.0Power43.7
0.63xG0.73
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