GGOALVIO

Argentina · Reserve League · 6/19/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Barracas Central Res. are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Sarmiento Res. are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Sarmiento Res. hold a 6.7-point power-rating edge (37.0 v 43.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.0% in the Reserve League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

41.0%

Model confidence

41.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Barracas Central Res.LLDDL

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Sarmiento Res.LLLWL

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Barracas Central Res.Sarmiento Res.
18.2Attack28.8
54.5Defence59.1
28.8Form36.4
37.0Power43.7
0.63xG0.73
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