GGOALVIO

Argentina · Reserve League · 3/4/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

San Lorenzo Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Barracas Central Res. are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while San Lorenzo Res. are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and San Lorenzo Res. hold a 15.5-point power-rating edge (37.0 v 52.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.1% in the Reserve League, while San Lorenzo Res. holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

San Lorenzo Res.

Probability

39.1%

Model confidence

39.1%

San Lorenzo Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Barracas Central Res.LWLLD

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
San Lorenzo Res.LDWLW

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Barracas Central Res.San Lorenzo Res.
18.2Attack40.9
54.5Defence62.1
28.8Form48.5
37.0Power52.5
0.57xG1.06
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