Barracas Central Res.vs
Instituto Res.
COMPLETEDArgentina · Reserve League · 9/17/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Instituto Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Barracas Central Res. 0-1 Instituto Res., with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Barracas Central Res. 3-1 Instituto Res.
Original prediction
Instituto Res.
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 2 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.62 | 34.0% | 26.7% | -7.3 pts |
| Draw | 2.90 | 30.7% | 30.7% | -0.0 pts |
| Away | 2.52 | 35.3% | 42.6% | 7.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.3 pts
Projected Score
Barracas Central Res. 0–1 Instituto Res.
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Instituto Res.
Probability
42.6%
Model confidence
42.6%
Instituto Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00