Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nação · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Barra 3-3 Nação
Original prediction
Nação
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
Nação
Probability
52.9%
Model confidence
52.9%
Nação has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BarraWLWLL
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
NaçãoDLLLD
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
BarraNação
29.6Attack51.9
22.2Defence33.3
14.8Form29.6
25.6Power40.2
1.26xG2.19