Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Joinville · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Barra are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (LD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.50 conceded, while Joinville are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 4 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Joinville hold a 27.1-point power-rating edge (25.6 v 52.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.1% in the Copa Santa Catarina, while Joinville holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Joinville
Probability
60.1%
Model confidence
60.1%
Joinville has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/2.50
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/2.50