Barravs
Figueirense
COMPLETEDBrazil · Copa Santa Catarina · 9/23/2023, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Figueirense · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Barra are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (LLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.33 conceded, while Figueirense are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Figueirense hold a 27.0-point power-rating edge (25.6 v 52.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.5% in the Copa Santa Catarina, while Figueirense holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Figueirense
Probability
61.5%
Model confidence
61.5%
Figueirense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/2.33
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80