Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Blumenau · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Barra 0-2 Blumenau, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Barra 2-2 Blumenau
Original prediction
Blumenau
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.52 | 26.0% | 15.0% | -11.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 26.1% | 18.8% | -7.3 pts |
| Away | 1.91 | 47.9% | 66.2% | 18.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.50 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
18.3 pts
Projected Score
Barra 0–2 Blumenau
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Blumenau
Probability
66.2%
Model confidence
66.2%
Blumenau has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BarraDWLWL
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
BlumenauLLDDL
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
BarraBlumenau
29.6Attack60.0
22.2Defence73.3
14.8Form73.3
25.6Power69.4
0.49xG2.81