GGOALVIO

Brazil · Copa Do Brasil · 3/13/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Barra are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while America Mineiro are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and America Mineiro hold an 11.8-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 48.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 19.1% in the Copa Do Brasil, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

36.3%

Model confidence

19.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BarraLWDLW

GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
America MineiroDLDWD

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
BarraAmerica Mineiro
0.0Attack16.7
83.3Defence83.3
16.7Form33.3
36.5Power48.3
0.90xG0.83
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