GGOALVIO

Brazil · Carioca B2 · 10/17/2024, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Barra Mansa are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (WDL), averaging 0.67 scored and 0.67 conceded, while Uni Souza are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (LDW), averaging 1.33 scored and 1.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 6 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Barra Mansa hold a 2.7-point power-rating edge (47.3 v 44.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.3% in the Carioca B2, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

39.3%

Model confidence

39.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Barra MansaWDL

GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 0.67/0.67

BTTS 1/3O2.5 0/3
Uni SouzaLDW

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 1.33/1.67

BTTS 1/3O2.5 2/3
Barra MansaUni Souza
30.0Attack39.4
66.7Defence45.5
40.0Form45.5
47.3Power44.5
1.05xG0.72
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