GGOALVIO

Brazil · Carioca B2 · 10/18/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Serra Macaense · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Barra Mansa 0-1 Serra Macaense

Original prediction

Serra Macaense

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 4 October 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.0–110%
  3. 3.1–210%

Predicted outcome

Serra Macaense

Probability

51.2%

Model confidence

51.2%

Serra Macaense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Barra MansaLDLWD

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Serra MacaenseDWWWW

GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Barra MansaSerra Macaense
38.1Attack61.9
47.6Defence61.9
42.9Form61.9
45.8Power62.9
1.02xG1.69
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